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Penarol vs Progreso — live score, lineups, stats, h2h and where to watch

Penarol vs Progreso kicks off 2026-10-10. TV channels and legal streams are listed below as soon as they are confirmed.

Who will win?

High confidence
76%Penarol
17%Draw
7%Progreso

Penarol are favoured, with a 76% chance of winning.

Most likely score 2-0 · Expected goals 2.2 – 0.6

Why

  • Penarol scored 1.7 and conceded 0.8 a game this season; Progreso 0.9 and 1.5.
  • Penarol have won 10 of 17 at home this season; Progreso have won 4 of 16 away.
  • Penarol have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD); Progreso have taken 9 (WLWWL).
  • Penarol have scored first in 80% of their matches, Progreso in 60%. When Penarol score first, they win 75% of the time.

Calculated from league results, with last season counted at half weight early on. Tested on over 16,000 past matches. For information only.

Head to head

Last 1 meeting

1
Penarol wins
0
draws
0
Progreso wins
  1. 2026-04-04Progreso vs PenarolLiga AUF Uruguaya - ClausuraW
Penarol — recent form
WWWWD
Progreso — recent form
WLWWL

Where to watch Penarol vs Progreso

  • Uruguay:Tenfield, DIRECTV Sports Uruguay, Antel TV
Full where-to-watch guide — every region, channel and stream →

About the match

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura continues as Penarol take on Progreso on Saturday 10 October 2026.

Follow this page for live scores, stats and key moments once the match gets underway at Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 UTC.